Computers: True Legacy or On the Verge of Extinction?

When discussing the future of computers, it is often assumed that they might go extinct. However, the truth is quite the opposite. While the form and function of computers are undoubtedly evolving, they are not becoming obsolete. Instead, they are becoming more integral to our lives, thanks to advancements in artificial intelligence, machine learning, and quantum computing.

Evolution, Not Extinction

It is important to understand that the concept of computers is not going extinct. On the contrary, the trend is towards integrating computers more deeply into various facets of our daily lives. Mobile devices, cloud computing, and edge computing are leading this revolution. These technologies are making computing more accessible and efficient, but the core function of computers remains essential for a wide range of applications.

No Extinction, Just Integration

Many of us use computers every day for tasks ranging from data processing to app development. Mobile devices and tablets, while versatile, are not sufficient for heavy-duty tasks. For such tasks, traditional computers remain indispensable. However, the form and integration of these devices are changing. We are witnessing an exciting period as advancements in CPUs and robotics pave the way for androids capable of performing various tasks, such as mowing lawns and cooking. These devices are on the horizon, but the trend toward less visible, more integrated computing is continuing.

Shifting Paradigms: From Local to Cloud Computing

Looking ahead, it is believed that within the next 7 to 12 years, the concept of a computer as we know it today might become obsolete. The focus will shift towards cloud computing, where all your computing needs can be handled in the virtual realm. The goal is to transition away from owning expensive, specialized hardware toward accessing powerful computing resources via a thin display screen or minimalistic device. This thin client approach would connect you to a powerful virtual machine residing in the cloud, which can be accessed through a subscription service, making computing resources more accessible and affordable.

Key Assumptions for Cloud Computing Dominance

Cheap and Flexible Cloud Resources: Cloud computing should become cheaper than the cost of owning a computer, even over a five-year period. For a device like an iMac, which costs around $2500, you could subscribe to equivalent cloud resources for around $120 per year. Uninterrupted Connectivity: Reliable 5G and beyond connectivity is crucial for seamless cloud computing experiences. Users should have robust network coverage everywhere, ensuring a consistent and reliable experience.

Major computer manufacturers, such as Dell, HP, and IBM, particularly in enterprise accounts, are already showing a reduction in the size and resource consumption of their devices. These smaller, more lightweight devices are more cost-effective and reliable, serving as mere portals to cloud resources. In the near future, these devices may connect directly to a cloud service provider, allowing you to choose from various virtual operating systems without the need to invest in physically owned hardware.

Conclusion

While the form and integration of computers are changing, the essence of computing is here to stay. The future lies in integrating more powerful computing resources into thin client devices, making computation more accessible and efficient. As technology continues to evolve, the landscape of computing will undoubtedly transform, but the core utility of computers will remain a cornerstone of modern life.