Why Ukraine Can't Bomb the Kremlin: Looming Missile Capabilities and Realities

The question of why Ukraine cannot use its full arsenal to bomb the Kremlin in Moscow has been a topic of much discussion, especially during times of heightened geopolitical tensions. While it might seem like a straightforward and powerful solution on paper, the reality is far more complex and constraining.

The Practical Limits of Ukraine's Missile Arsenal

It is a common misconception that Ukraine has the capability to launch a barrage of missiles onto the Kremlin. This belief is often fueled by emotions and the desire for a decisive military victory. However, this idea falls short when scrutinized through the lens of actual military logistics and capabilities.

Missile Range and Availability

Firstly, Ukraine does not possess the number of missiles needed for such a hypothetical attack. The notion of sending a "bajillion missiles" on the Kremlin is, to put it mildly, an launch a significant number of missiles, a country needs a substantial logistical support system, including transportation, maintenance, and refueling capabilities. Ukraine, facing its own internal and external challenges, is far from being in a position to sustain such an unprecedented military action.

The Nature of Their Best Rockets

Ukraine's best modern rockets, the Tochka-U, are tactical unguided systems from Soviet times. These rockets, designed with a range of about 120 km, have limited precision and are not suitable for long-range strategic strikes.While they can be deployed against military targets, their accuracy and range are insufficient for targeting specific structures like the Kremlin.

Russia's Robust ABM and Air Defense System

Another critical factor to consider is Russia's formidable air defense system around Moscow. Its Active Layered Theater Ballistic Missile Defense (AL-TBMD) system, combined with advanced air defense systems such as the S-300 and S-400, is considered among the densest and best air defense systems in the world. These systems are designed to counter incoming missiles, helicopters, and other aerial threats.

The Capabilities of Russia's DEFENSE Networks

The S-400 system, for instance, is capable of detecting and engaging targets at altitudes ranging from 10 meters to 180 kilometers and at distances up to 400 kilometers. It is equipped with advanced missile guidance systems, radar networks, and command-and-control capabilities, making it extremely difficult for any missile to evade interception. The S-300, also in widespread use, is known for its ability to shoot down cruise missiles and low-flying targets, adding another layer of protection to the Kremlin.

The Implications for Strategic Decision-Making

The combination of Ukraine's lack of sufficient missile stockpiles and the robust Russian defenses underscores the need for strategic and diplomatic approaches rather than military responses. Ukraine's military capabilities are more suited to tactical strikes and ground engagements rather than long-range strategic attacks.

Alternatives to Military Action

Given the challenges, alternative strategies such as cyber warfare, intelligence gathering, and diplomatic negotiations may become more viable options. Cyberattacks can disrupt critical infrastructure and intelligence operations, while diplomacy seeks to achieve political resolutions that avoid direct military confrontation. These methods, while limited in their destructive potential, can still have significant strategic impacts.

Conclusion

The inability of Ukraine to bomb the Kremlin highlights the intricate balance between military capabilities and strategic realities. While it may be tempting to explore grand military solutions, the practical limitations of Ukraine's missile arsenal and the robust Russian defenses make such actions both unfeasible and ineffective. A nuanced understanding of these limitations is crucial for formulating effective and realistic strategies in the context of ongoing conflicts.